Conf = Atlantic Sun State = VA
Nickname = Flames Coach = Kelly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.2878799 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 96.4) 6-14 213 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (10- 7, 96.0) 6-19 217 H Longwood Big South ( 8-10, 82.1) 16- 4 224 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 5, 91.9) 11-18 227 H Duke Atlantic Coas (10- 9, 92.4) 13-16 306 H Pittsburgh Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 88.2) 20-17 311 A San Diego State Pac-12 ( 2-14, 83.4) 20- 9 313 A Arizona State Pac-12 ( 9-10, 90.9) 5-12 321 H Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 8-11, 91.8) 8-11 327 A Florida American (20- 3, 98.4) 3-23 329 A Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 4-11, 82.5) 18-11 404 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (14- 6, 89.0) 9-14 406 H Queens Atlantic Sun ( 9- 8, 86.0) 15-18 411 H Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (16- 4, 97.6) 5-12 413 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 5-11, 82.2) 15-12 420 A Lindenwood Atlantic Sun (13- 5, 87.3) 14-10 427 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun ( 9- 9, 88.4) 11-12 502 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun ( 9- 9, 88.4) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Virginia 6-14 -8 -7 0.00 213 A North Carolina 6-19 -13 -9 0.00 217 H Longwood 16- 4 12 6 0.64 224 H Richmond 11-18 -7 -3 - -3.52 227 H Duke 13-16 -3 -3 0.97 306 H Pittsburgh 20-17 3 0 + 2.69 311 A San Diego State 20- 9 11 3 + 3.69 313 A Arizona State 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.77 321 H Louisville 8-11 -3 -3 0.38 327 A Florida 3-23 -20 -11 0.00 329 A Stetson 18-11 7 4 + 2.85 404 H Coastal Carolina 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.46 406 H Queens 15-18 -3 2 -- -5.48 411 H Notre Dame 5-12 -7 -9 0.00 413 A Kennesaw State 15-12 3 4 -1.47 420 A Lindenwood 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.63 427 H Jacksonville 11-12 -1 0 -1.04 502 A Jacksonville 9-10 -1 -1 0.75UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Coastal Carolina 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.46 406 H Queens 15-18 -3 2 -- -5.48 224 H Richmond 11-18 -7 -3 - -3.52 313 A Arizona State 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.77OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 A Lindenwood 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.63 306 H Pittsburgh 20-17 3 0 + 2.69 311 A San Diego State 20- 9 11 3 + 3.69 329 A Stetson 18-11 7 4 + 2.85
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 87.57 Power Rank................. 63 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 76.48 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 42 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6011 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 61 RPI Rating............... .4714 RPI Rank................... 72 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 80 Selection sum ........... 231 Selection Rank ............ 75 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -220. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 98 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -225. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 98 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 13.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7